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How to find the next Livongo (LVGO Stock Analysis) | Winning Characteristics of Leadership Stocks

2 356 views | 10 Feb. 2021

Livongo Health / LVGO was

Livongo Health / LVGO was one of the strongest stocks in 2020 advancing from the 20s to 150 in just a few months. In this video Ray and I go through its fundamentals and technicals, picking out repeating winning characteristics that it shares with other big winners including triple-digit sales and earnings and relative strength. We identify all these characteristic of technical analysis and fundamental analysis so that we can use them to find and manage the next Livongo

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Timestamps:

0:00 Intro

0:45 Fundamental Analysis

1:03 Sales Driven

1:20 Largest Weekly Volume

1:50 Outperforming during the market correction

2:06 Increase in Fund Ownership

2:40 Structure of the Stock - Float

3:33 Float of historical Winners

4:17 Bar by Bar Analysis

4:46 IPO Initial Correction

5:55 Underperformance Phase

6:15 No matter how great the story is follow price

6:45 How LVGO appeared on Ray's Radar

7:10 Market Outperformance

7:33 Relative Strength New High Scan

8:10 Fighting the market correction - RS

9:18 Make your RS list for the Follow Through Day

9:53 You need to buy on the FTD

10:50 RSNH RSNHBP

12:00 Stopped out initially

13:08 Listening to the Earnings Call

14:14 Step up in Daily Average Volume

15:30 Evidence of a winner

16:30 Story

17:10 How did Ray position

18:20 FTD Buy Point

18:40 Matt Caruso Kicker

20:20 LVGO standing out after FTD

20:30 Double Inside Days at the pivot

21:30 Straight off the bottom

22:10 Market Pressure Lifting

22:30 Breakout Buy Point

23:00 High Volume, Pocket Pivot

23:20 What is a Pocket Pivot?

24:20 RS line increasing

25:30 How to manage a winning position

25:50 Rules and Consistency phase for New Traders

26:30 Consistency Phase Journey

27:30 Know where you are in the journey

29:25 Rides 21 SMA

30:14 Shelf Buy Point

30:55 Adding at 21 SMA on pullbacks

31:24 Learn the Personality of a Stock

32:30 Tight action and Gap up on volume high Dialy Closing Range

33:40 Earnings Discussion- Gambling -Binary Event

34:20 Check the implied move - Optionsslam

35:50 Gap up on highest volume since IPO, New Demand

37:20 How did Ray sell Acquisition

38:00 Stay within your wheelhouse

39:40 Knowing what you are bad at is also an edge

41:08 Summary of winning characteristics

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Music from Absent Mind: https://soundcloud.com/absentinlife

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Disclaimer

The content of this video is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as a suggestion to buy or sell anything

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Bartek

Can we have a video how to find next Livongo during a more normal year compared to 2020?

Raitzi

Next LVGO. That is easy. Company managers started a SPAC. $HAAC lols

Rahul

Excellent work Richard and Ray
Here's my summary
- What Ray is watching for is Outperformance when Market's under pressure (Relative Strength)
- Whenever Market goes under correction Ray looks at stocks making New Relative Strength High (RSNH scanner) or RSNH before price makes a new high (RSNHBP scanner)
- When the market's under pressure you are looking at names that are trying to outperform the market
- When the Market pressure lifts from correction these stocks which made new RS high (when market was under pressure) starts to outperform
- Buy in (or start accumulating) the follow-through day (william o'neil concept - after 3 days of rally attempt comes the follow through day)
- In Follow Through Day the Index (S&P 500 or Nasdaq) has to move above 1.25% and volume higher than previous days'
- Livongo gaps down on earnings but it started to step up the daily average volume on earnings annoucement
- Step up in Average Volume made Ray realize it's not retailers but it's the institutional volume
- Livongo when Market was under pressure
1- RSNH & RSNHBP
2 - Sales and EPS positive
3 - Funds where Increasing (slightly)
4 - Step up in Daily Volume Average
5 - Story
6 - Low float (When the float is low and you know the stock will start rising or goes your way, the stock will probably outperform and be a performer in the market)
- After seeing step up volume Ray started accumulating Livongo (But he doesn't recommend this method to anyone)
- The proper buy point for Livongo was on the day same day as follow through days'
(Matt Caruso kicker = Price opens above the body of previous down candle)
Also it formed Mini Cup & handle within the long term primary base
- After the Gap up Livongo had 2 Double inside days (another opportunity to get in before the 5% extension from buy point)
- When a stock is passing through it's pivot,
1-you want the volume to increase (atleast above the prior day's volume)
2- Volume: To be above average
3- Volume at it's highest level (atleast in the last 3-4 months)
4- Pocket Pivot, it is when the volume is higher than the last 10 days highest down volume
- Ride the 21 DMA (I personally use the 21 EMA), buy Ray suggests you to have consistent Buy and Sell rules
- Before you buy a stock, learn the personality of the stock (How it reacts to certain market conditions)
- Predicting the earnings before it's release day is like gambling
But always keep check of the Implied Move before the earnings annoucement
Implied Move: How much the stock could move on over a binary event (could be both Increase or Decrease)
- Minimum requirement for a Gap
1) highest volume ever
2) Atleast highest in last one year
- Stay within your circle of competence
Move on when you don't understand the circumstance clearly and look for other opportunities

Ross Kennedy

What a fascinating teacher!

Richard Foster

Ray's description of a pocket pivot day seems over simplified. When Chris Kacher researched them he also took in to consideration the position of price in relation to the key moving averages – 20d and 50d and whether the potential pocket pivot day was extended above the ma's or not and also whether it was breaking through or bouncing off them.
Good analysis though – thank you.

veera velaga

Thanks Ray and Richard. You guys are wonderful. Learning the basics of trading.

Soham Bhatia

$HAAC will let you run it back with the $LVGO team :)

Aj

thank you for video! maybe you can make a new one "how to screen thouse high performance stocks by finviz or something"

Richard Moglen

Hope you guys enjoy! Let us know if you have any questions or have feedback on how we can make these better!

Siddharth Chhabra

Thanks Ray and Richard for your valuable inputs and efforts.

Balanced Thinking

The gap up on earnings @35.50 was an early earnings release.

Aaron Estinar

just in time as I was just looking for a growth stock video today. Thanks for this and keep it up!

Omokunle

Where can we find the ThinkorSwim screener mentioned regarding RS

Richard Moglen

Timestamps:

Timestamps:
0:00​ Intro
0:45​ Fundamental Analysis
1:03​ Sales Driven
1:20​ Largest Weekly Volume
1:50​ Outperforming during the market correction
2:06​ Increase in Fund Ownership
2:40​ Structure of the Stock - Float
3:33​ Float of historical Winners
4:17​ Bar by Bar Analysis
4:46​ IPO Initial Correction
5:55​ Underperformance Phase
6:15​ No matter how great the story is follow price
6:45​ How LVGO appeared on Ray's Radar
7:10​ Market Outperformance
7:33​ Relative Strength New High Scan
8:10​ Fighting the market correction - RS
9:18​ Make your RS list for the Follow Through Day
9:53​ You need to buy on the FTD
10:50​ RSNH RSNHBP
12:00​ Stopped out initially
13:08​ Listening to the Earnings Call
14:14​ Step up in Daily Average Volume
15:30​ Evidence of a winner
16:30​ Story
17:10​ How did Ray position
18:20​ FTD Buy Point
18:40​ Matt Caruso Kicker
20:20​ LVGO standing out after FTD
20:30​ Double Inside Days at the pivot
21:30​ Straight off the bottom
22:10​ Market Pressure Lifting
22:30​ Breakout Buy Point
23:00​ High Volume, Pocket Pivot
23:20​ What is a Pocket Pivot?
24:20​ RS line increasing
25:30​ How to manage a winning position
25:50​ Rules and Consistency phase for New Traders
26:30​ Consistency Phase Journey
27:30​ Know where you are in the journey
29:25​ Rides 21 SMA
30:14​ Shelf Buy Point
30:55​ Adding at 21 SMA on pullbacks
31:24​ Learn the Personality of a Stock
32:30​ Tight action and Gap up on volume high Dialy Closing Range
33:40​ Earnings Discussion- Gambling -Binary Event
34:20​ Check the implied move - Optionsslam
35:50​ Gap up on highest volume since IPO, New Demand
37:20​ How did Ray sell Acquisition
38:00​ Stay within your wheelhouse
39:40​ Knowing what you are bad at is also an edge
41:08​ Summary of winning characteristics

Vag Hatzialex

Excellent work guyz! Keep it up

Fedor Timchenko

0:37
rtn.in.net

wilson au

looking forward to next episode!

H S

Great great video. I learned a lot. Thank you!!

Nasdaq gappers

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Pre Market Gappers - Market Recap - $KOSS $GBR $OXBR $JAN $SIEB $TGC

207 views | 31 Jan. 2021

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All videos or content posted on this channel regarding stocks, investing, stock trading, money, money, wealth, retirement, or any investment vehicle is entirely for educational purposes only, please do not take any of the information literally, and always speak to a professional/licensed investment specialist for any investment decisions.

BURR VISUALS

Can you do a video on your candle stick settings? I see different color outlines v. fills, different shades of green, arrows and triangles below and above candles, etc. Super curious!!

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Trading The Gap - How I Trade The Stock Market Using Gappers

74 views | 1 Jul. 2018

Trading The Gap - How I

Trading The Gap - How I Trade The Stock Market Everyday

See how I trade stocks with gappers and momentum stock trading with breakouts and use gaps for morning trades

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